VNQ REIT-Income Calculator
Vanguard Real Estate ETF — the broad U.S. listed-REIT index fund. Project distribution income, portfolio value, and yield-on-cost with quarterly distributions reinvested (DRIP).
Enter what you would invest and how long you would hold. This compounds VNQ's current distribution yield and its modest per-share distribution growth forward, reinvesting each payout net of the 0.13% expense ratio, and reports the result as a range — not a single number — because forward growth is an editorial preset assumption, not a prediction.
Year-by-year breakdown ›
| Year | Contributed | Value (base) | Div income | Yield on cost |
|---|
Base-scenario path shown; every figure also carries a low–high scenario band on the chart above. Contributions are your money in; value and income are illustrative projections.
Assumptions & sources ›
| Assumption | Value | Source · asOf |
|---|---|---|
| Distribution yield | ~3.4% | Vanguard VNQ fund page (3.39% as of 5/31/2026) · asOf 2026-05 |
| Distribution-per-share growth | ~1%/yr | Modest and lumpy — REIT payouts vary year to year, not a smooth grower · asOf 2026-05 |
| Expense ratio | 0.13% | Vanguard VNQ fund page · asOf 2026-05 |
| Forward price growth | 3%/yr | Illustrative editorial preset assumption, set modestly for a rate-sensitive property index (fixed on this page) |
| Scenario band | low / base / high | Illustrative low/base/high scenario, not a probabilistic forecast |
Illustrative model, not investment advice. Starting yield, per-share distribution growth, and expense are the fund's asOf 2026-05 figures; forward price growth is an editorial preset assumption, not a prediction. The engine runs three deterministic paths (low, base, high) and labels them a low / base / high scenario band — not measured percentiles — so the band shows a conservative range of paths rather than promising one. Distribution growth is applied to the per-share payout and the 0.13% expense ratio is dragged off price growth. VNQ's real-world payout is lumpy — a large year-end distribution and quarter-to-quarter variation the model smooths into an annual figure — and REIT prices are interest-rate sensitive, which is why forward price growth is set modestly. Figures refresh on our quarterly cadence.
What VNQ actually is
VNQ is Vanguard's Real Estate ETF — a single fund that holds the broad U.S. listed-REIT market in one ticker. It tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index, roughly 160 real-estate investment trusts weighted by size, and it is the largest and most liquid REIT ETF on the market at around $69.8 billion in assets. Crucially, "real estate" here is not just landlords and shopping centers: the modern index is led by specialized REITs — cell-tower operators, data centers, industrial and logistics warehouses, self-storage — alongside residential, retail, and healthcare property. Buying VNQ is buying that whole basket at a 0.13% expense ratio, which is why it gets its own calculator: the projection above models a diversified property index, not a single building or a single company's rent roll.
Who tends to reach for it
VNQ is most often used as an asset-class allocation rather than a stock pick — investors who want real estate represented in a portfolio the same way an S&P 500 fund represents large-cap equity, without picking individual REITs. That diversification is the point: no single tenant, sector, or management team can sink the position the way it could with one REIT. The trade-off is honest and worth stating. The ~3.4% distribution yield is moderate — higher than a broad-market index fund but below a dedicated high-income vehicle — and the per-share payout grows slowly and unevenly rather than compounding like a dividend-growth ETF's. You also inherit the whole sector's beta, including weaker corners like office, and REITs as a group are rate-sensitive, so the price can lag broad equity when rates rise. VNQ answers "how do I own listed real estate broadly," not "how do I maximize this year's check" or "how fast can the payout grow" — different questions the other funds in this cluster address.
How DRIP compounds here
With the DRIP toggle on, each quarterly distribution buys more VNQ shares, and those shares pay their own distribution next quarter — the reinvestment loop the toggle turns on and off. The metric that captures it is yield-on-cost: distributions received in a year divided by what you originally invested. Because VNQ starts near a 3.4% yield, yield-on-cost builds from a moderate base, but it drifts upward slowly since the per-share payout grows only modestly and in lumpy steps. One quirk to note: a meaningful slice of VNQ's annual income arrives in a large year-end distribution, so real-world reinvestment is uneven even though the chart smooths it into an annual figure. Turn DRIP off and you take the cash instead; the share count stops compounding and the income line flattens sooner. The chart shows both outcomes as a band, not a line, because multi-decade REIT growth is genuinely uncertain.
The tax detail worth knowing
A REIT fund's distribution is taxed differently from an ordinary stock dividend, and it is the single most important thing to weigh before holding VNQ in a taxable account. Because REITs pass through income without paying corporate tax, the bulk of VNQ's payout is non-qualified — taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate, not at the lower long-term capital-gains rate that applies to a qualified-dividend fund like SCHD. The Section 199A deduction shelters part of that ordinary slice, and a portion each year is return of capital that defers rather than eliminates the tax, but the base case is that VNQ's income is taxed harder than a qualified payer at the same yield. That is why REIT funds are so often held inside a Roth or traditional IRA, where the distribution reinvests without an annual ordinary-income bill. The Account toggle above models this: the default taxable projection taxes VNQ's payout as ordinary income — applying the §199A deduction and treating the return-of-capital slice as basis-deferring — before the DRIP reinvests, while a Traditional IRA or Roth compounds the same paths untaxed.
Compare & go deeper
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