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VYM

VYM Dividend Calculator

Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF — project dividend income, portfolio value, and yield-on-cost with dividends reinvested (DRIP), shown as a range.

Projected dividend income $ Full projection & chart ↓
Distribution yield 2.5%Dividend-per-share growth ~6.0%/yrExpense ratio 0.04%Dividend growthQualified dividends — 0/15/20% LTCG ratesinvestor.vanguard.com · asOf 2026-06 · illustrative
Projected annual dividend income — year 25 · VYM
$
Portfolio value Yield on cost
Base-scenario path Scenario range (low–high) Annual dividend income
Set your inputs — this projects VYM forward as a low, base, and high scenario and reports the band between them. Growth is an assumption, not a certainty, so the honest answer is a range, not one number.
Account & tax treatment — Taxable · Single

How the distribution is taxed. Default is a taxable brokerage account; a Traditional IRA or Roth compounds the same projection untaxed.

Year-by-year breakdown
YearContributedValue (base)Div incomeYield on cost

Base-scenario path shown every fifth year plus your final year. Value and income are the base path of the low/base/high scenarios; yield-on-cost is the forward dividend run-rate on what you have contributed.

Assumptions & sources
AssumptionValueSource · asOf
Starting distribution yield 2.5% Vanguard VYM fund page · asOf 2026-06 · observed
Dividend-per-share growth ~6% / yr Trailing 5-yr per-share CAGR (Digrin) · asOf 2026-06 · editorial preset assumption
Price growth 5% / yr Illustrative forward assumption · not a prediction
Expense ratio 0.04% Vanguard VYM fund page · asOf 2026-06 · drags price growth
Scenario band low / base / high Illustrative low/base/high paths — price growth ±3 pts, dividend growth ±2 pts

Share-based projection: contributions buy shares at the running price, dividends are paid on shares held and (with DRIP on) reinvested at that price, then price and dividend-per-share grow for the next year. Forward growth inputs are assumptions, not forecasts; the band is an illustrative scenario range, not a measured probability distribution.

What VYM actually is

The Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF tracks the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index — the half of the U.S. large- and mid-cap market, by count, that pays above-average dividends, weighted by market capitalization. That makes VYM a broad, index-rule fund rather than a hand-picked basket: it holds several hundred names across financials, consumer staples, health care, energy, and industrials, so no single company or sector dominates the payout. It is a plain long-only equity fund. It does not sell covered calls, use leverage, or return capital to manufacture a headline yield, which is why its distribution sits near 2.5% rather than the 8–12% you see on option-income products.

Who tends to reach for it

VYM suits an investor who wants dividend exposure without giving up ownership of the market's upside, and who cares about cost. At a 0.04% expense ratio, the fund keeps almost none of your return — a point worth weighing against income funds charging 0.35% to 0.68%. The trade-off runs the other way on starting yield: VYM pays less today than SCHD or a REIT like Realty Income, and far less than JEPI or SPYI. What you get in exchange is a per-share dividend that has grown at roughly 6% a year and full participation in price appreciation, since none of the upside is capped by written options. It is closer to a total-return holding that happens to yield well than to an income-replacement vehicle.

Why DRIP compounding changes the picture

With reinvestment on, each quarterly distribution buys more shares, and those shares pay their own dividends next quarter — the snowball this calculator projects. The metric to watch is yield-on-cost: the forward dividend run-rate measured against what you actually contributed. Because VYM's per-share payout has grown faster than its price, yield-on-cost drifts upward over a long horizon even though the fund's market yield stays near 2.5%. Toggle DRIP off in the console to see how much of the projected income depends on reinvestment versus fresh contributions. Every figure is shown as a low / base / high scenario range because the growth rate is an assumption, not a number anyone can promise.

The tax detail people miss

Most of VYM's distributions are qualified dividends, taxed at long-term capital-gains rates rather than ordinary income — a genuine advantage over the largely non-qualified distributions of covered-call funds. But qualified is not the same as tax-free: in a taxable brokerage account those dividends are a reportable event every year, whether or not you reinvest them, so a DRIP can quietly generate a tax bill on income you never took as cash. Holding VYM inside a Roth or traditional IRA removes that annual drag entirely. The Account toggle above now models this: the default taxable projection subtracts the qualified-dividend tax (0/15/20% long-term rate, 2026 brackets, your other income) before the DRIP reinvests, while a Traditional IRA or Roth removes that annual drag entirely — switch it to see the gap for your bracket. None of this is investment or tax advice.

Written by Chris Park · Updated 2026-07-22
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