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STAG

STAG Industrial Dividend Calculator

STAG Industrial, Inc. — a single-tenant industrial and logistics REIT. Project distribution income, portfolio value, and yield-on-cost with payouts reinvested (DRIP). This is REIT income, not a growing dividend — the check is large but nearly flat.

Distribution yield 4.0%Dividend growth ~1.0%/yrExpense ratio 0.00%REIT incomeREIT distribution — ordinary income (§199A-eligible slice); part return-of-capitalsec.gov · asOf 2026-06 · illustrative

Enter what you would invest and how long you would hold. This compounds STAG's current distribution yield and its recent per-share dividend growth forward, reinvesting each payout, and reports the result as a range — not a single number — because forward growth is an editorial preset assumption, not a prediction. STAG's per-share dividend has grown only about 1% a year, so treat the projection as high current income, not a compounding income stream.

Read this as REIT income, not dividend growth. STAG's headline yield is roughly 4%, but its per-share dividend has grown only about 1% a year and its payout is close to 59% of FFO — this is a large, near-flat check, not a payout that compounds like SCHD's. Two honesty flags specific to STAG: (1) the distribution is ordinary income — most of it is taxed at your marginal rate, with a §199A slice eligible for the 20% QBI deduction and a small part return-of-capital that defers basis, so it is taxed harder than a qualified-dividend fund at the same yield; and (2) STAG switched from monthly to quarterly dividends in 2026, so if you are here for a monthly check, that cadence no longer holds. Unlike a covered-call fund, a REIT like STAG has no systematic NAV erosion — your principal is preserved — but its growth is minimal and its share price is interest-rate sensitive.

How the distribution is taxed. Default is a taxable brokerage account; a Traditional IRA or Roth compounds the same projection untaxed.

Projected annual dividend income — year 25 · STAG
$
Portfolio value Yield on cost
Base-scenario path Scenario range (low–high) Annual dividend income
Set your inputs — the projection runs a low, base, and high scenario and shows the band between them. Growth varies, so the honest answer is a range, not one number.
Year-by-year breakdown
YearContributedValue (base)Div incomeYield on cost

Base-scenario path shown; every figure also carries a low–high scenario band on the chart above. Contributions are your money in; value and income are illustrative projections.

Assumptions & sources
AssumptionValueSource · asOf
Distribution yield~4.0%STAG Q1/Q2 2026 8-K — $0.3875/qtr ($1.55/yr) · asOf 2026-06
Dividend-per-share growth~1%/yr5-year per-share CAGR ~0.89%; payout ~59% of FFO · asOf 2026-06
Distribution frequencyQuarterlySwitched from monthly to quarterly in 2026 (Q1/Q2 2026 8-K)
Tax characterREIT ordinary + §199A + ROCOrdinary income (§199A-eligible slice ~85%; ~15% return-of-capital) — illustrative, set yearly on the 1099-DIV
StructureIndividual REITA single stock, not a fund — no fund expense ratio applies
Forward price growth3%/yrIllustrative editorial preset assumption, set low for a rate-sensitive REIT (fixed on this page)
Scenario bandlow / base / highIllustrative low/base/high scenario, not a probabilistic forecast

Illustrative model, not investment advice. Starting yield and recent dividend growth are STAG's asOf 2026-06 figures; forward price growth is an editorial preset assumption, not a prediction. Because STAG is an individual REIT rather than a fund, no expense ratio is deducted. The engine runs three deterministic paths (low, base, high) and labels them a low / base / high scenario band — not measured percentiles — so the band shows a conservative range of paths rather than promising one. Dividend growth is applied to the per-share distribution and is set near flat (~1%/yr) to match STAG's slow raises. REIT price appreciation is interest-rate sensitive and historically slower than broad equity, which is why the forward price-growth assumption is set low. The distribution is taxed as ordinary income with a §199A-eligible slice and a small return-of-capital portion; the exact split is reclassified each year on STAG's 1099-DIV and should not be assumed fixed. Figures refresh on our quarterly cadence.

What STAG Industrial actually is

STAG Industrial is a real-estate investment trust that owns a single kind of building: functional, single-tenant industrial property — warehouses, distribution centers, light-manufacturing and logistics facilities scattered across secondary U.S. markets rather than the pricey coastal gateways. It trades under the ticker STAG, and the name is a nod to its strategy of acquiring one industrial building at a time and holding it on a long net lease. This is a very different animal from a retail net-lease REIT or a diversified property fund: STAG's fortunes ride on the demand for warehouse and last-mile logistics space — the physical backbone of e-commerce and domestic supply chains — so its rents move with industrial vacancy and re-leasing spreads, not with consumer foot traffic. It gets its own calculator page because its distribution profile, cadence, and tax character are specific enough that folding it into a generic dividend tool would mislead.

Who reaches for it, and the trade-off

STAG draws income-first investors who want a high current yield backed by hard industrial assets and are comfortable with a payout that barely grows. The trade-off has to be said plainly: a roughly 4% starting yield is well above a broad index or a dividend-growth ETF, but the per-share dividend has crept up only about 1% a year, with a payout ratio near 59% of funds from operations. You are buying a large check today, not a check that compounds — so unlike SCHD or VIG, where a modest starting yield grows into a much larger yield-on-cost over decades, STAG's yield-on-cost drifts up only slowly. That is a legitimate choice for someone who needs income now from a warehouse landlord, but it is a different question from "how large can this grow," which is exactly why each fund in this cluster is projected separately rather than blended into one dividend number.

The 2026 monthly-to-quarterly switch

For years STAG was one of the few large-cap stocks that paid every month, and many holders bought it specifically to match a monthly income schedule. As of 2026 that changed: STAG moved to a quarterly distribution. The annual total is roughly the same, but the rhythm is not — if you were relying on twelve checks a year to cover monthly bills, the payout now lands four times a year instead. This calculator models the annual income and reinvestment either way, but the cadence change is worth knowing before you treat STAG as a monthly-income holding, because that is no longer what it is.

The tax detail worth knowing

STAG's distribution is taxed as a REIT payout, which matters most in a taxable account. Because a REIT passes through income it does not pay corporate tax on, most of STAG's dividend is non-qualified ordinary income, taxed at your marginal rate rather than the lower qualified-dividend rate a fund like SCHD enjoys. A large slice — illustratively around 85% — is eligible for the Section 199A deduction, which shelters 20% of that portion, and a smaller part is typically classified as return of capital, which is not taxed the year you receive it but lowers your cost basis. The 199A and ROC treatment softens the bill but does not make STAG's income tax-efficient; at the same headline yield it is still taxed harder than a qualified-dividend payer. That is why REITs like STAG are often held inside a Roth or traditional IRA. The Account toggle above models this: the default taxable path taxes the distribution as REIT ordinary income — applying the §199A deduction to the eligible slice and deferring the return-of-capital portion — before reinvesting, while a Traditional IRA or Roth compounds it untaxed. Switch it to see what the account choice is worth at your bracket.

Written by compoundcoast · Updated 2026-07-22
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